January 21, 2019
After studying the 2018 full year recording numbers, I’ve concluded that the Monroe County sale and mortgage market remains steady without any discernable trends – either increasing or decreasing. (chart page 7). Sales disclosure data (charts pages 17 & 18) reflect the same level of consistency.
Given the continued shortage of homes on the market, the equilibrium between inventory and closings may be reassuring when projecting 2019 numbers. Assuming the inventory shortage remains, there’s a case to make that the number of transactions won’t decline. Perhaps there will only be fewer multiple offer situations. Or, a seller may need to wait a few days for an offer instead of a few hours.
Year to year fourth quarter mortgage recordings were lower (charts pages 8, 10 &11). That’s probably due to slightly higher interest rates resulting in fewer refinances. Our own book of business supports this hypothesis.
The number of new foreclosures filed increased in 2018 (chart page 20). They are however, significantly lower that during the great recession and remain in a historically normal range.
Thank you for allowing us to help you and your clients in 2018. We’re excited about 2019 and hope that you are too!
~ John Bethell
December 18, 201
To our valued customers:
I couldn’t be more grateful for the support of our friends and clients during 2018, one of our most successful years ever! We helped over 4500 people buy, sell and refinance their homes. That’s a lot of lives we impacted. Your trust in us is humbling.
Moving our company at the height of the spring home buying season is one of the most challenging endeavors that our team could undertake. In a more perfect world we would have chosen a different time of year to relocate. The world is rarely perfect. It turned out pretty well for us. Your patience and understanding is greatly appreciated.
With the move behind us, I am happy to be back solely in the title business this winter. Our team is training and incorporating changes into our workflow. I’m confident that these changes will allow us to become even better and more consistent at what we do.
Thank you for the compliments you bestowed upon us this year. And equally important, thank you for the coaching you give us when we need to be better.
May your holiday season be filled with joy no matter how you celebrate it. And may 2019 be your best year ever!
~ John Bethell
October 26, 2018
The most striking thing about the 2018 Monroe County purchase and mortgage markets is their overall sameness to 2017. The page 7 chart shows third quarter mortgage numbers identical to last year. The conforming loan picture on pages 9 and 10 shows a third quarter decline of a minuscule 8 transactions. Recorded sale transactions on page 13 and sales of primary residences on page 14 also reflect this sameness to 2017.
A first glance at the chart for non-primary residence sales, one might notice those numbers are up on a third quarter comparison. However, that market appears to only be making up for lost time as the total year to date number for nine months is 633 compared to 631 last year. It is notable that the distribution of sales prices shown on this analysis is trending up ? an expected result given the lack of inventory in the market.
So despite the many conversations I?ve had with clients telling me things are slower, the transaction numbers do not reflect that. This year?s volume is about the same as last. And based upon what I?ve read recently about the national market, next year is expected to be the same. The trends of higher prices coupled with mortgage rates around 5% instead of last year?s 4% do not seem to be slowing our market.
For the six weeks ending October 12th, our team helped 504 people buy, sell or refinance their property. We averaged 3.7 days to issue title commitments on new Monroe County orders. And, we delivered seller side closing statements two days or more before closing in 94% of our sale transactions.
Today John Bethell Title was selected as one of Bloomington?s Best Places to Work. The assessment was done by Dimension Mill, the Bloomington Economic Development Corporation and the Herald Times based upon surveys conducted of our management and team members. I feel honored by the selection and consider it one of the highlights of my career. I?ve always believed Richard Branson of the Virgin Group when he says, ?If you take care of your employees, they?ll take care of your customers.?
~ John Bethell
September 12, 2018
Once again sales in Monroe County made a strong comeback in the second half of August. The monthly total of 274 deeds representing a transaction compared favorable to last August?s number of 276. For the year, deed recordings are down about two percent from 2017.
The same holds true for mortgage recordings. Mortgages securing between $75,000 and $424,000 total 2066, down minimally from last year?s 2079 through August. (I included as page 7 the year to date numbers for last year.)
After eight months it appears that we?ll enjoy a strong purchase market for the third year in a row. These are good results despite the wide-spread inventory shortage.
During August we helped 430 people buy, sell or refinance their properties. We provided seller side closing statements two or more days prior to closing in 93% of the transactions that we closed. Our title team completed initial Monroe County orders in four or fewer days for 86% of our transactions.
~ John Bethell
August 21, 2018
Mortgage recordings in July showed a significant increase from a year ago. There were 301 mortgages recorded in amounts between $75K and $424K compared to 256 last year. This is consistent with our own book of business which has shown a decline in the percentage of cash deals from about 33% to 26%. That?s the lowest percentage for us in many years.
About the middle of July, it appeared that the purchase market was slowing down. During the second half of July, the number of recorded deeds representing a transaction rebounded to 264 and the month ended up almost identical to July 2017 when 260 deeds were recorded. A spot check of August again shows a notable 14% decline thru the 17th of the month. I?m a bit gun shy to draw any conclusions.
I do think that because of the lack of inventory, buyers are taking longer to find a house to buy. The normal seasonal patterns that we?re accustomed to are not as constricted by ?back-to-school? or ?we must move during the summer? considerations. Buyers will close and move whenever they find a house.
So in spite of the lack of inventory and the resultant price appreciation, our market perseveres. That?s a good thing for all of us!
~ John Bethell