Monthly Mortgage Market Share Archives

February 2019 Mortgage Market Share Report

March 13, 2019

 

February’s mortgage recordings held steady from January.  The market is now showing signs of warming up, both figuratively and weather-wise. Year to year comparisons tell a different story.

Mortgages securing between $50,000 and $500,000 are down about ten percent during the first two months of the year ─ 385 to 427 last year. February’s 30 year commitment rate for Freddie Mac was the lowest in 13 months, so it appears that interest rates are not a factor of the lower demand.

Monroe County deed recordings are down slightly ─ 263 to 276, almost five percent. Our own book of business shows cash deals holding steady at about one-third of all purchase transactions.

All of these indicators are consistent with national predictions that the market would be down slightly in the first. Those reports also predict a rebound in the second half of 2019 {{crossed fingers}}.  Our own order pipeline is showing a significant increase in expected closing over the next 45 days.

After April, making more accurate conclusions about the strength and direction of the market will be easier.

The Monroe County 2018 pay in 2019 taxes will be official March 23rd. We’ll begin using those new amounts for pro-rations that day. Our title team will be updating your outstanding orders throughout the next few weeks.

Enjoy the forthcoming spring!

 

~ John Bethell

Mortgage Market Share Report January 2019

February 14, 2019

 

As always, the number of January transactions is low making it impossible to draw any conclusions about the health or direction of the market. The Polar Vortex undoubtedly affected the number of new transactions.

Recorded mortgages were down about fourteen percent from a year ago. Deed recordings were down about seven percent. Our own book of business shows a significant increase in the percentage of cash deals when compared to January 2018. This is consistent with what the recording numbers show.

New taxes will be showing up most likely before our next report. We will notify you when the new rates are official.

Last month our title team’s average production time for new Monroe County commitments was 3.8 business days. Our closing team is also doing well. Some internal changes are making the collecting of their data more cumbersome. We’re trying to find a work around. Stay tuned.

I hope that 2019 is off to a great start for you!  Here’s wishing it will be your best year ever, so far!

 

~ John Bethell

End of 2018 Mortgage Market Share Report

January 21, 2019

 

After studying the 2018 full year recording numbers, I’ve concluded that the Monroe County sale and mortgage market remains steady without any discernable trends – either increasing or decreasing. (chart page 7). Sales disclosure data (charts pages 17 & 18) reflect the same level of consistency.

Given the continued shortage of homes on the market, the equilibrium between inventory and closings may be reassuring when projecting 2019 numbers. Assuming the inventory shortage remains, there’s a case to make that the number of transactions won’t decline. Perhaps there will only be fewer multiple offer situations. Or, a seller may need to wait a few days for an offer instead of a few hours.

Year to year fourth quarter mortgage recordings were lower (charts pages 8, 10 &11). That’s probably due to slightly higher interest rates resulting in fewer refinances. Our own book of business supports this hypothesis.

The number of new foreclosures filed increased in 2018 (chart page 20). They are however, significantly lower that during the great recession and remain in a historically normal range.

Thank you for allowing us to help you and your clients in 2018. We’re excited about 2019 and hope that you are too!

 

~ John Bethell

2018 December Mortgage Market Share Report

December 18, 201

 

To our valued customers:

 

I couldn’t be more grateful for the support of our friends and clients during 2018, one of our most successful years ever! We helped over 4500 people buy, sell and refinance their homes. That’s a lot of lives we impacted. Your trust in us is humbling.

Moving our company at the height of the spring home buying season is one of the most challenging endeavors that our team could undertake. In a more perfect world we would have chosen a different time of year to relocate. The world is rarely perfect. It turned out pretty well for us. Your patience and understanding is greatly appreciated.

With the move behind us, I am happy to be back solely in the title business this winter. Our team is training and incorporating changes into our workflow. I’m confident that these changes will allow us to become even better and more consistent at what we do.

Thank you for the compliments you bestowed upon us this year. And equally important, thank you for the coaching you give us when we need to be better.

May your holiday season be filled with joy no matter how you celebrate it. And may 2019 be your best year ever!

 

~ John Bethell

October 2018 Mortgage Market Share Report

October 26, 2018

The most striking thing about the 2018 Monroe County purchase and mortgage markets is their overall sameness to 2017. The page 7 chart shows third quarter mortgage numbers identical to last year. The conforming loan picture on pages 9 and 10 shows a third quarter decline of a minuscule 8 transactions. Recorded sale transactions on page 13 and sales of primary residences on page 14 also reflect this sameness to 2017.

A first glance at the chart for non-primary residence sales, one might notice those numbers are up on a third quarter comparison. However, that market appears to only be making up for lost time as the total year to date number for nine months is 633 compared to 631 last year. It is notable that the distribution of sales prices shown on this analysis is trending up ? an expected result given the lack of inventory in the market.

So despite the many conversations I?ve had with clients telling me things are slower, the transaction numbers do not reflect that. This year?s volume is about the same as last. And based upon what I?ve read recently about the national market, next year is expected to be the same. The trends of higher prices coupled with mortgage rates around 5% instead of last year?s 4% do not seem to be slowing our market.

For the six weeks ending October 12th, our team helped 504 people buy, sell or refinance their property. We averaged 3.7 days to issue title commitments on new Monroe County orders. And, we delivered seller side closing statements two days or more before closing in 94% of our sale transactions.

Today John Bethell Title was selected as one of Bloomington?s Best Places to Work. The assessment was done by Dimension Mill, the Bloomington Economic Development Corporation and the Herald Times based upon surveys conducted of our management and team members. I feel honored by the selection and consider it one of the highlights of my career. I?ve always believed Richard Branson of the Virgin Group when he says, ?If you take care of your employees, they?ll take care of your customers.?

 

~ John Bethell